Bounce Back Week! The CFL Predictor: Week 5 Picks

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers let me down as well as a sold out Investors Group Field in week four when they laid an egg at home.

However, a respectable 3-and-1 week has moved my season record to .500, 8 right and 8 wrong. I’ll look to get on the plus side of the ledger for the first time this season with my week five picks.

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Calgary Stampeders (3-0 T2nd in West) LW: 10-7 win vs. Hamilton
Edmonton Eskimos (4-0 1st in West) LW: 26-3 win at Winnipeg

Three Keys:

Odell Can You See: Very quietly, which is something when it comes to him, Odell Willis is having a sold season anchoring the Edmonton Eskimos defensive line. Willis, has returned to his all-star form and is making those around him better.

Connecting Shaw: If this game comes down to a last minute kick to win Grant Shaw can literally be hit and miss. The same can be said for his punting. He will need to have a solid, consistent night for the Eskimos to be successful.

M*A*S*H: The unlucky bounces continue when it comes to the health of the Calgary Stampeders. Reigning MOP Jon Cornish has been moved to the six game, the receiving corp is not getting healthier and two more DB’s missed practice this week. The training staff in Calgary is being worked around the clock.

THE PREDICITION: To be honest I keep waiting for the Edmonton Eskimos to fall primarily due to their offensive line. However, credit where credit is due and the Eskmios have been great in the trenches. This though will be the week that injuries catch up to the Stampeders. The game won’t have a lot of fireworks but the Eskimos will do just enough to win a tight victory, 21-10 over the Stamps.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-1 T2nd in West) LW: 26-3 loss vs. Edmonton
B.C. Lions (2-2 4th in West) LW: 41-5 win vs. Montreal

Three Keys:

Willy Can’t Wobble: Quarterback Drew Willy was kept off balance all night long in week four against Edmonton. The Lions will have that film and their own wrinkles to force the protection scheme of the Bombers.

When Nick Met Solomon: Grigsby vs. Elimimien will be one of the great individual match-ups of the season thus far. Grigsby’s ability to make players miss in the hole will be put to the test with, perhaps, the most ferocious hitter in the game. One thing for sure is that it will be a great battle to observe.

Pass Catching Arceneaux: Manny Arceneaux showed that he is back from injury and ready to contribute to the Lions offence. Thrown in the other receivers that Kevin Glenn has at his disposal and the Bomber secondary will need a big house.

THE PREDICTION: The B.C. Lions have found their identity after dropping a pair of games to start the season. The Bombers are tasting adversity for the first time this season. What that all adds up to in my mind is the experience of the Lions will outshine the youth of Winnipeg. B.C. 38 – Winnipeg 9.

Ottawa REDBLACKS (1-2 T1st in East) LW: 18-17 win vs. Toronto
Hamilton Tiger Cats (0-3 Last in East) LW: 10-7 loss at Calgary

Three Keys

Smilin’ Hank? Back in Town: I mentioned this in the Power Rankings earlier this week. How much would Kent Austin love to have Henry Burris back on his team, especially considering the injury to Zach Collaros. Now Henry will be coming back with a chip on his shoulder with all kinds of emotions very raw on his sleeve after being let go by Hamilton in the off-season. Hank will be ready to go.

Playing the Slots: The Hamilton Tiger Cats may have the best inside receivers in the game with Ellingson and Fantuz. The only question is can somebody get them the ball? If the answer is yes these two will be a force to be reckoned with.

If you play a game and no one is there is there still a game? This home game for the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will be played in front of 5,000 fans as Tim Hortons Field is not ready to go. At least they will be playing their games in Hamilton, unlike Guelph last year, but the atmosphere will be far from electric considering this is the reigning East Division Champion’s home opener.

THE PREDICTION: Tough one to call here but I think Kent Austin will have his charges more than ready to go after a tough 3 game road trip through the west to open the season. It will also be hard for Ottawa to duplicate the emotion and urgency they played with last week. This will not be a Picasso, go with Hamilton over Ottawa 24-12.

Toronto Argonauts (1-3 T1st in East) LW: 18-17 loss at Ottawa
Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 LAST in West) LW: Bye

Three Keys:

The Return of D-A: Despite all of the things the Saskatchewan Roughriders DO have to worry about the one thing they won’t is Dwight Anderson who returns to the team after being shipped out after a week two loss in Toronto. D-A will be ready to shut down the Riders inexperienced receivers and if he can stick to doing that and not opening his mouth he has a chance to be very effective.

A Messam Situation in the backfield: I honestly am not sure that even the coaches know what to expect from the running backs that the Green and White have in the fold. Will Jerome Messam get a chance to play? Very likely and if so he could be a ratio changer if he can hold the ball. What will happen? Who knows but the Riders do know that they need to have some success on the ground in order to execute their offence.

Rockin’ Ray: In the first meeting of the season the Saskatchewan Roughriders pinned their ears back trying to get to Quarterback Ricky Ray and he beat them with the short quick pass. Ray will not have Chad Owens or Andre Durie in this game but the offence still has some potent weapons that will test the Riders defence, especially, the linebacking corp.

THE PREDICTION: I have swayed back and forth on this one and I truly have no idea what to expect. The Argo team that looked like they were clicking on all cylinders in week two against Saskatchewan OR the Rider team that has had little to nothing going for them the two weeks prior to their bye. The Riders are a little bit healthier and are playing at home but Toronto always plays well at Mosaic. See what I mean? I hate to do this but reluctantly I will go with the kicking game to be the difference in this one and will take Swayze Watters and Toronto to top Saskatchewan 24-21. (Sorry Rider Nation, I would dearly love to be wrong on this one!)

One Response to Bounce Back Week! The CFL Predictor: Week 5 Picks

  1. Doug w. says:

    Well Dave I think the Rider coaches should start showing some offensive imagination in play calling. they are again, way to predictable and next, they got to show and give confidence to the players in starting rotation, benching for mistakes just won’t build any player confidence and that is so lacking after 4 weeks, or so it appears to be the case: I hope that they can turn it around soon.


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